All picks will be on teams whose odds, I believe, are too big. Therefore, these are purely value based picks. No deep analysis is done beyond looking at recent results.
The staking system used is based on the Kelly Criterion. You can read about it at wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion). It is not an indication of the strength of feeling in the pick.

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Thank you for visiting my blog and please check back. I will try and put at least one pick up every day.